Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.115548 0.123917 0.132584 0.142236 0.152691 0.163681 0.176118
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.102809 0.115250 0.128790 0.144650 0.162758 0.182832 0.206829
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.092620 0.106926 0.123021 0.142528 0.165611 0.192151 0.225113
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.085336 0.100881 0.118845 0.141231 0.168512 0.200839 0.242289
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.078257 0.094366 0.113404 0.137694 0.168041 0.204943 0.253573
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.073231 0.089885 0.109968 0.136137 0.169580 0.211215 0.267477
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.069726 0.086989 0.108197 0.136378 0.173161 0.219969 0.284737
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.065570 0.082995 0.104756 0.134183 0.173321 0.224123 0.295937
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.062433 0.080105 0.102523 0.133344 0.175077 0.230282 0.309940
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.061574 0.080104 0.103984 0.137376 0.183432 0.245555 0.337122
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058934 0.077592 0.101971 0.136565 0.185053 0.251584 0.351507
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.056411 0.075108 0.099856 0.135464 0.186138 0.256807 0.364860
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053240 0.071664 0.096359 0.132378 0.184406 0.258134 0.372876
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052099 0.070975 0.096628 0.134610 0.190389 0.270851 0.398572
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049672 0.068369 0.094084 0.132653 0.190112 0.274289 0.410232
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047663 0.066264 0.092145 0.131457 0.190851 0.279194 0.424315
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045161 0.063349 0.088917 0.128195 0.188290 0.278905 0.430067
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.043366 0.061383 0.086981 0.126759 0.188407 0.282678 0.442445
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.042160 0.060230 0.086179 0.126982 0.191059 0.290470 0.461728
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.040401 0.058190 0.083979 0.124957 0.190071 0.292399 0.471288
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.039082 0.056757 0.082631 0.124183 0.191005 0.297412 0.486251
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.039012 0.057201 0.084124 0.127902 0.199295 0.314748 0.523291
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.037807 0.055867 0.082844 0.127154 0.200246 0.319952 0.539348